Holiday Reflections and Resolutions

 

The Standish Group family wishes your family a great holiday season and happy New Year.  As you trim your Christmas Tree, light your Menorah, eat your sacrificial goat, burn your Yule Log, and dance round the Festivus Pole it is time to reflect on the past and look to the future.  We reflect on those misty water-colored memories of those scattered pictures of the smiles of people that have left us.  We cherish the thoughts of those that are still with us. We forgive and forget those major and minor transgressions never to be brought to mind.  In this season of hope we resolve to eat less, eat better, exercise more, relax more, work harder, work less, love more and be in general a better person.

Now looking backwards The Standish Group used to provide annual predictions.  Today, our predictions are focused on project resolution and portfolio value, based on the new CHAOS Database.  However, these annual predictions were a lot of fun to brainstorm.  Some of the predictions included wireless electricity, energy servers, cell phones would replace landlines, and bionics would replace body parts and the Internet would be the prime business place (1994). Other predictions include Apple would survive and prosper and many mergers/acquisitions. Some of our favorites are the plaque-eating Guinea worm as a cure for coronary artery decease and particle transference.

Now looking ahead The Standish Group has seen a break through with particle transference, but we are still waiting for the plaque-eating Guinea worm. Many of these previous predictions were based on our primary research product call DARTS.  However, we stopped collecting DARTS data a few years ago and thus providing the annual prediction. However, looking at these predictions we had an 80% prognostication rate even with the lack of plaque-eating Guinea worm. At latest Boston CTO Club meeting the speaker shown up at 7:30 PM for a 7:30 AM meeting leaving the opportunity for the Club to innovate.  What better place for innovation could you have than a bunch of high-level geeks?

I started off with the predictions that 2015 will be the tipping point for wireless electricity and energy servers. I was quickly joined in by a suggestion that we will see next year an energy generating T-Shirt that use body fat as the source.  This of course has the added benefit of reducing your body fat while powering your cell phone and new iWatch.  Talking about the iWatch, I predict it will be the gadget of the year.  It will go head to head with the Fitbit for a share of the health metrics market.  This market will be driven by more and more insurance companies that will offer incentives for verifiable healthy lifestyles. Judith Hurwitz came next with her seven predictions on cloud management and other management issues. There were other predictions such as self-driven cars, and more Uber like services.  Consensus reigned that the biggest IT news event in 2014 was the Sony hack-in, but next year it will seem like small potatoes for cyber attacks in 2015. We also agreed that 2014 was the tipping point for personal drones. 

From my family to your family have a great holiday season and happy New Year. Merry Christmas Mr. Plaque-eating Guinea Worm.

 



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About the Author:

Author

Jim Johnson

Jim Johnson is the founder and chairman of The Standish Group. He has been professionally involved in the computer industry for over 40 years and has a long list of published books, papers, articles and speeches. He has a combination of technical, marketing, and research achievements focused on mission-critical applications and technology. He is best known for his research on project performance and early recognizing technology trends. Jim is a pioneer of modern research techniques and continues to advance in the research industry through case-based analytical technology.

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